Xinhuanet Tianjin, September 3 (Reporter Jiang Junji) 2016 China Automotive Industry Development (TEDA) International Forum was officially held in Tianjin today. Zhu Hongren, a member of the original party group and chief engineer of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, shared with him the supply. Thinking about the development of the automobile industry from the perspective of structural reform. Zhu Hongren introduced China's auto industry to make new progress in promoting the supply-side structural reform process. He believes that accelerating supply-side structural reforms to ensure that the long-term fundamentals of the auto industry will not change, the transformation and upgrading of China's auto industry will be One of the important signs of success in the supply-side structural reforms in the manufacturing sector.
Zhu Hongren, member of the original party group and chief engineer of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology
Zhu Hongren analyzed that China's auto industry has made new progress in the following four aspects in the process of promoting supply-side structural reform:
The supply capacity of the automobile industry has been continuously enhanced. In the past ten years, China's automobile industry has continued to develop rapidly, and its production and sales ranks first for seven consecutive years, leading the world. In 2015, the production and sales volume of automobiles has exceeded 24 million. In the first half of this year, the production and sales of automobiles were 12.89 million and 12.83 million, an increase of 6.47% and 8.14% year-on-year. The growth rate was 3.83 and 6.71 percentage points higher than the same period of the previous year. It is expected that the annual production and sales volume will reach 25 million. To make China's automobile first consumer power and manufacturing power more stable.
The restructuring of the automobile industry has steadily advanced. First, the industrial concentration has been steadily increasing. In the first half of this year, the automobile industry continued the trend of continuous optimization of the industrial organization structure in the past two years. The total sales volume of the top ten enterprise groups in automobile sales accounted for more than 89.5% of the total automobile sales. Second, the market share of self-owned brand passenger vehicles continued to grow. In the first half of the year, the sales of self-owned brand passenger cars reached 4.735 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.8%, accounting for 42.9% of the total sales of passenger vehicles, an increase of 1.4 percentage points over the same period of the previous year. The sales of self-owned brand SUVs and MPV models increased rapidly. Third, the energy-saving automobile market continues to expand. In the first half of 2016, the market share of small-displacement passenger cars of 1.6 liters and below continued to increase, with sales of 7.966 million units, an increase of 14.2% year-on-year, which was higher than the overall growth rate of passenger vehicles by 5 percentage points.
The continuous development of new energy vehicles and the development of new energy vehicles are the only way for China to move from a big car country to a car power. In the past two years, new energy vehicles have maintained sustained high growth. In 2015, China has become the world's largest producer and consumer of new energy vehicles. In the first half of 2016, the company continued to maintain rapid growth. New energy vehicles produced and sold 177,000 vehicles and 170,000 vehicles, an increase of 125.0% and 126.9% year-on-year. In the future, as the marketization process of new energy vehicles continues to accelerate, the technological progress of new energy vehicles with power batteries as the core will gradually accelerate, and the vitality and competitiveness of the industry will continue to increase.
The automobile industry has increased its pace of opening up to the outside world. First, China’s automobile sales account for nearly 30% of the total global automobile sales. Such a large volume is an important contribution to the global automotive industry. Secondly, China's open and fast-growing market provides opportunities for expansion and rich returns for auto companies around the world. In the first half of 2016, the share of foreign auto brands in the Chinese market is still close to 60%. Finally, the import and export trade of Chinese auto products has developed rapidly. The total import and export trade of auto products including automobiles and parts and components reached US$791.2 billion in 2010-2015.
Zhu Hongren believes that accelerating supply-side structural reforms to ensure that the automotive industry's long-term fundamentals will not change. Can the important position of China's auto industry be maintained and maintained? After more than 30 years of rapid development, China's modernization industry has entered a historically important critical period of transformation and development. The long-term development of the automobile industry as the pillar of the national economy has aroused special attention. In the first half of this year, in the context of the world economic downturn and weak trade growth, China's economic operation continued to maintain an overall stable development trend, with GDP growth of 6.7%. Statistics show that in the first half of the year, the role of the service industry in driving growth has further surpassed that of the manufacturing industry including the automobile industry; the service industry grew by 7.5% year-on-year, accounting for 54.1% of GDP, which is 14.7 percentage points higher than the secondary industry; The contribution rate of economic growth is 59.7%, which is 22.3 percentage points higher than that of the secondary industry.
The status of the automobile industry as a pillar industry of the national economy has not changed. It is an important period for the rapid transformation of the old and new Chinese economy. The basic position of the manufacturing industry is important. The proposal of "Made in China 2025" in the form of a national strategy fully illustrates this point. The overall progress of the automobile industry is rapid, with strong driving effects, closely related to the desire of residents to upgrade their consumption, and supporting the industry to promote the growth of the national economy is obvious. As long as the automobile industry adheres to the drive of innovation and accelerates the improvement of supply capacity to adapt to changes in demand, the growth of the service industry and final consumption will become a new impetus for the development of the automobile industry. The long-term good situation of the automobile industry can continue.
The automobile industry will maintain a moderate growth in line with the national economic and economic development. First, the construction of a well-off society will accelerate. With the continuous development of China's economy and society, the number of cars owned by thousands of people in China is still lower than the global average, and the rigid demand for car purchases is not diminished. Second, the level of urbanization has increased. By 2020, the urbanization rate of permanent residents will reach 60%, 3.9 percentage points higher than that in 2015, and about 100 million agricultural transfer populations and other permanent residents will be settled in cities and towns, which will bring huge market space for the sustainable development of the automobile industry. . The third is the release of consumption upgrade potential. Chinese consumers' demand for new technologies and new products, especially new energy vehicles, has continued to expand. The replacement of old vehicles and “secondary purchases†have formed stable market demand. Fourth, structural overcapacity has emerged. Due to the downward pressure on the economy and the optimism of some enterprises on the market, the structural excess of the automobile industry has appeared in some areas and has a development trend.
Adhere to the joint development of energy-saving vehicles and new energy vehicles
New energy vehicles are an important component of strategic emerging industries. The government's active guidance and strong support have enabled China's new energy automobile industry to gain the opportunity to compete with the world's automobile powers and lead. Accelerating the research and development and production of new energy vehicles is an important task for the automotive industry. At the same time, we cannot ignore the upgrading of traditional cars as the main body of the automobile industry.
First, traditional cars still dominate in the future. It is estimated that China's new energy vehicles will account for about 20% of total vehicle sales in 2025; according to the International Energy Agency, by 2030, global new energy vehicles will account for 30% of total vehicle sales. Second, the level of traditional automotive technology is expected to increase further. With the advent of new materials and new technologies, the efficiency of traditional vehicles continues to increase, the potential for energy conservation is continuously released, and energy-saving effects are outstanding. Third, new energy vehicle technologies still face many challenges. There are still gaps in the fields of power batteries and other advanced levels. The lack of comprehensive strength, low investment in research and development, energy density, safety, longevity and cost of batteries restrict industrial development, and materials, structures and processes need to be improved.
China has already established the foundation for the rapid development of smart cars. First, the technical route of intelligent networked cars has gradually become clear. The research on the intelligent networked vehicle technology roadmap carried out by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on the basis of “Made in China 2025†has been basically completed. The intelligent network connection technology will expand along the two axes of intelligence and network linkage, from assisted driving technology to automatic driving. The goal is gradually advanced.
Second, auto and Internet companies have invested. China's Changan, SAIC, GAC, BAIC, Dongfeng, BYD, Chery, Geely and other traditional automobile groups have developed the development strategy and planning of smart cars. Internet information companies such as LeTV, Botai, Baidu, Alibaba and Tencent are accelerating. The penetration and layout of the smart car industry. In addition, traditional auto companies and Internet companies are also cooperating in the research and development of smart cars.
Third, the collaborative innovation mechanism has gradually formed. The intelligent network alliance automobile strategic alliance has been established, and it has carried out work in research and development, establishment of standards, research regulations, exchanges and cooperation, etc. Manufacturing and Internet companies have considerable innovation and vitality in the development of intelligent networked automobile technology, especially in the field of communication technology. Has a strong international competitiveness. The research on the “Intelligent Networked Vehicle Technology Roadmap†carried out by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology on the basis of “Made in China 2025†has been basically completed, and the intelligent network connection technology will expand along the two axes of intelligence and network.
Strengthening the drive for innovation is a key factor driving the long-term improvement of the automotive industry . First, there is a short -term basis for basic capabilities. The core technologies in some key areas are missing, the supporting capabilities need to be strengthened, and the development of the industrial chain needs to be optimized. Lack of a large and strong core component industry system, the supporting capacity of key components in powertrains and other key components is very different from that of first-class autopower. Second, the lack of original innovation technology. There is still a big gap between the innovations in the cutting-edge and cutting-edge technology fields such as electrification, lightweight, and intelligent. Insufficient investment in research and development, especially in basic research, key core technologies, and process technology research, and low ability. Third, the innovation system and mechanism are not perfect. There is a lack of organic connection between industry, academia and research; lack of accumulation and supplement of high-end R&D talents, middle and high-level technicians are not connected; it is difficult to form key technologies in the key areas, joint research on common technologies and continuous innovation in business models.
The transformation and upgrading of China's auto industry will be one of the important signs of the success of the supply-side structural reform in the manufacturing sector.
Converging the development consensus of the industry has always been the road of self-development by domestic auto companies. Competition is more than cooperation, power is scattered, and cooperation routes and models are not clear. In the critical period of building a strong manufacturing country in China, the automobile industry should gather together with a new generation of information technology, new energy, new materials and other related industrial enterprises through the establishment of intra-industry and cross-industry strategic alliances and development platforms to unify development consensus. Clear cooperation direction and mode, strengthen coordination and integration, jointly develop common technology development and standard system in key areas, and vigorously promote the transformation and upgrading of the automobile industry.
Promote industrial innovation and lead the talent training system. Strengthen the development of human resources, adhere to the combination of introduction and training, and form a comprehensive, multi-level talent training system for technology research and development, manufacturing, enterprise management, sales and service.
Innovative service organization. Promote the public service platform for industrialization innovation, carry out specialized services such as technology research and development, inspection and testing, technology evaluation, technology trading, quality certification, and promote the transformation and popularization of scientific and technological achievements.
Key technology research and development. We will increase support for research and development and industrialization of key technologies for automobiles, and strive to break through the core technologies of low-carbon, information-based, intelligent vehicles and parts; support the formation of a number of joint ventures, collaborative innovation alliances, and key enterprises through the market mechanism. Common technical research and industrialization application demonstration.
Pay attention to the traditional car upgrade and implement the requirements of China Manufacturing 2025. Accelerate the integration of the two-in-one compliance of automobile enterprises, and further enhance the level of digitalization, intelligence, networking and greening.
Increase energy-saving technology research and development. Break through the key technologies of energy-saving, high-efficiency internal combustion engines and automatic transmissions, hybrid power, electronic control systems, low resistance, etc., and accelerate the application and popularization.
Guide the development of energy-saving cars. It is necessary to establish a market-oriented, government-supported mechanism for the popularization of energy-saving vehicles, and encourage research and development of alternative fuel vehicles such as natural gas, alcohol ethers, and biofuels.
Building a green development model to promote the development of new energy vehicles
Strengthen the research and development and industrialization of key core technologies, accelerate the transformation of policy-driven and market-driven development of new energy vehicles, and actively build economic, convenient and efficient vehicle charging facilities.
Promote the research and development of green technology in the whole industry chain to increase the research and development of advanced energy-saving technologies, processes and equipment, and actively promote the development of low-carbon, recycling and intensification, and improve the efficiency of resource utilization.
Strengthen product green management
Strengthen the green management of the entire life cycle of automotive products, support the development of low-carbon automotive products, and strive to build an efficient, clean, low-carbon, recycling automotive green manufacturing system.
Promote smart levels to enhance smart cars. To overcome the core technology research and development and industrialization of driver assistance systems; to build a standard system to support industrialization; to promote the demonstration of intelligent network vehicle applications. Smart package. Promote the formulation and implementation of infrastructure and roads supporting the development of smart cars, and promote the development of smart transportation systems and the development of intelligent networked vehicles. Intelligent manufacturing. As soon as possible, research and develop the intelligent manufacturing development strategy and related standards of the automotive industry to achieve customized production that meets the individual needs of consumers. Intelligentization and networking are the future development trends of the automotive industry. In order to seize the commanding heights of technology, it is necessary to accelerate the technical research and industrial layout in this field.
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